Dr. Lachlan Astfalck

Profile

I am a statistician working in climate science with a particular focus on modelling and understanding glacial processes. My current primary research interests include synthesising numerical model output with uncertain paleo-data, emulating non-standard model outputs, and understanding methodologies for inference where the specification of likelihoods and prior distributions via a probability distribution is not available. Previous to my employment at the University of Leeds, I worked in oceanography at the University of Western Australia where I focused on the short-to-medium term forecasting of directional wind forcings and ocean wave spectra. My doctoral research, also at the University of Western Australia, involved quantifying long-term uncertainties related to wind, surface current, and waves, and propagating these uncertainties through computationally demanding simulators of vessel motions with application to vessels moored off Western Australia.