
Dr. Lachlan Astfalck
- Position: Research Fellow
- Areas of expertise: Bayesian statistics; climate statistics; deglaciations; paleo reconstructions; Bayes linear analysis; distribution-free analysis
- Email: L.Astfalck@leeds.ac.uk
- Website: Googlescholar | ORCID
Profile
I am a statistician working in climate science with a particular focus on modelling and understanding glacial processes. My current primary research interests include synthesising numerical model output with uncertain paleo-data, emulating non-standard model outputs, and understanding methodologies for inference where the specification of likelihoods and prior distributions via a probability distribution is not available. Previous to my employment at the University of Leeds, I worked in oceanography at the University of Western Australia where I focused on the short-to-medium term forecasting of directional wind forcings and ocean wave spectra. My doctoral research, also at the University of Western Australia, involved quantifying long-term uncertainties related to wind, surface current, and waves, and propagating these uncertainties through computationally demanding simulators of vessel motions with application to vessels moored off Western Australia.
<h4>Research projects</h4> <p>Any research projects I'm currently working on will be listed below. Our list of all <a href="https://environment.leeds.ac.uk/dir/research-projects">research projects</a> allows you to view and search the full list of projects in the faculty.</p>