Naufal Naufal
- Email: Naufal@leeds.ac.uk
- Thesis title: Recognising spatial patterns to determine land use changes emerging from maladaptation processes as a response to climate change
- Supervisors: Dr Vikki Houlden, Prof Steve Carver, Prof Jon Lovett
Profile
I am involved in global change research, focusing on understanding the interconnections between natural and human systems. The interplay between human societies and the biophysical world is complex and often marked by uncertainty. My research aims to improve our understanding of these interdependent dynamics by: (1) developing approaches to measure the links between natural and social processes, and (2) creating geospatial tools to analyse and quantify the spatial and temporal patterns that emerge from their interactions.
As part of my PhD research, I delve into the origins of maladaptation in the land use and forestry sectors. I employ Polycentric Governance theory, the Institutional Analysis and Development (IAD) framework, and the Social-Ecological Systems Framework (SESF) to scrutinise how governance structures, institutional arrangements, and external drivers influence community adaptation—whether these responses are autonomous or influenced by markets, culture, or other forces. I also investigate land use patterns under drought conditions and employ Spatial Agent-Based Modelling (ABM) to simulate these dynamics and generate a maladaptation index. By acknowledging the hurdles faced by vulnerable groups in land adaptation, I aim to make these complexities more accessible for informed and inclusive decision-making, thereby underscoring the practical relevance of my research.
Research interests
- Forest and Land Use Change
- Climate Adaptation Strategies
- Polycentric Approaches to Environmental Governance
- Spatial Dynamics of Land Systems Using Geospatial Technologies
- Agent-Based Modelling of Socio-Ecological Systems
Qualifications
- BSc in Forestry, Hasanuddin University
- MSc in Forest Science, Hasanuddin University