Professor Cathryn Birch

Professor Cathryn Birch


Cathryn is a Professor in Meteorology and Climate in the School of Earth and Environment at the University of Leeds. She has expertise in dynamical meteorology and high-resolution modelling of weather and climate. Cathryn works to better understand the causes of high impact weather to improve weather forecasts, flood forecasts and Early Warning System capability. She also provides expertise to scientists from the fields of hydrology, health and agriculture through climate-related projects. Prior to her academic position, Cathryn worked as a Senior Scientist at the Met Office and has continued to collaborate closely with them on a wide range of projects.


  • 2021: University of Leeds Queen’s Anniversary Prize, for Empowering tropical communities to face the challenges of extreme weather
  • 2020: Water Woman Award for Research Funding, Water@Leeds
  • 2019: Best PhD/Undergraduate Final Year Project Supervisor award, Faculty of Environment Partnership Awards
  • 2014: European Meteorological Society Young Scientist Award
  • 2013: L F Richardson Award
  • 2003: William Arthur Crabtree Scholarship

Research interests

Current projects

  • Humid heat extremes in the Global (Sub)Tropics (H2X), NERC Pushing the Frontiers (£1M)
  • Consultation on flood early warning systems, West Yorkshire Combined Authority via WY FLIP (£60k)
  • Developing solutions for temperature-related health impacts in the UK, NERC highlight topic (£3M)
  • Satellite observations of urban floods, funded through iCASP in collaboration with SatSENSE (£40k)
  • Developing an Open-source Software Application for Community Level Cholera Outbreak-Risk Prediction and Feedback through Early Warning Systems (CholOut-EWS), Wellcome Trust (£500k)
  • FORecasting high-impact Weather And extreme Rainfall Drivers and dynamics for Southeast Asia (FORWARDS) (£1.75M)
  • Enhanced Surface Water Flood Forecasting (£342k) via the Yorkshire Integrated Catchment Solutions Programme (iCASP), NERC (£5.9M)
  • TerraMaris: The Maritime Continent – Driver of the Global Climate System, NERC large grant (£3.7M)

Past projects

  • Climate, heat and maternal and neonatal health in Africa (CHAMNHA), Belmont Forum (£500k)
  • WCSSP SE Asia Systematic Analysis of real time forecasts (FORSEA), Newton Fund via Met Office (£1.3M)
  • K-Scale – Towards km-scale global modelling, Met Office (£176k)
  • GCRF-Africap Climate Smart Agricultural Development, Global Challenges Research Fund (£9.2M)
  • GCRF-African-SWIFT, Global Challenges Research Fund (£8M)
  • WCSSP SE Asia Systematic Analysis of real time forecasts (FORSEA), Newton Fund via Met Office (£1.3M)
  • WCSSP India: Convective-scale regional coupled environmental prediction model evaluation and development (CASPER), Newton Fund via Met Office (£900k)
  • WCSSP SE Asia: Vertical structure of the Maritime Continent, Newton Fund via Met Office (£300k)
  • WCSSP SE Asia: Tropical Cyclones, Newton Fund via Met Office (£300k)large grant (£3.7M)
  • GENESIS of Deep Atmospheric Convection, NERC (£300k)
  • CSSP China: Convection-permitting simulations of East Asian climate, Newton Fund via Met Office (£300k)

Papers in review

  • Tan, I, M. J. Reeder, M. Singh, C. Birch, S. Peatman, S. Webster: Synoptic and mesoscale dynamics of cold surges and their control on extreme rainfall, J. Geophys. Res., in review.
  • Asher, M., M. Trigg, S. Boeing, C. Birch: The sensitivity of urban pluvial flooding to the temporal distribution of rainfall within design storms, J. Flood Risk Man., in review.
  • Howard, E., S. J. Woolnough, N. Kingaman, D. Shipley, C. Sanchez, S. C. Peatman, C. E. Birch, A. J. Matthews: Evaluation of multi-season convection-permitting atmosphere-mixed layer ocean simulations of the Maritime Continent, Geosci. Mod. Dev. in review.
  • Msemo, H., C. Birch, A. Taylor, T. james, A. Hartley, S. Chapman, A. Dougill, M. Baidu, S. Peatman: Interdisciplinary assessment of Tanzanian impact-based severe weather forecasts: forecast verification to end-user evaluation, Weat. Clim, Sooc, in review.
  • Lusambili, A, V. Fillipi, B. Nakstad, J.. Natukunda, C. Birch, J. Marsham, N. Roos, P. Khaema, S. Kovats: A qualitative study of heat early weather warnings for pregnant women and children in Kilifi, Kenya, PLOS ONE, in review.

Current group members

  • Simon Peatman: Postdoc in the TerraMaris project, 2018 - present.
  • Sam Ramsden: Impact Translation Fellow on Flood Communication Project, 2023 – present.
  • Lawrence Jackson: Postdoc in the Humid heatwaves in the global (sub)tropics (H2X) project, 2023-present.
  • Jack Law: PhD student, Satellite observations of humid heat extremes over Africa, SENSE CDT, 2023 – present.
  • Anistia Hidayat: PhD student, An Early Warning System for humid heat extremes over the Maritime Continent, Indonesian Met Service (BMKG), 2024-present.
  • Molly Asher: PhD student, Adaptation strategies to pluvial urban flood risk under UKCP18 climate change scenarios, PANORAMA NERC DTP, 2019 - present.
  • Joseph Smith: PhD student, Development of Novel Rainfall Nowcasting Techniques for Southeast Asia, SENSE CDT, 2021 - present.
  • Ashar Aslam: PhD student, Severe weather over Southeast Asia, SENSE CDT, 2021 - present.

Past group members

  • Ben Maybee: iCASP Impact Translation Fellow in Enhanced Surface Water Flood Forecasting project, 2022 - 2023.
  • Isaac Tan: PhD student, Monsoon cold surges, based at Monash University, Australia, 2020 - 2023.
  • Hellen Msemo: Bridging the Gap between Numerical Forecast Evaluation and Value to Decision Makers in Climate Sensitive Sectors, GCRF funded, 2018 - 2022.
  • Emmanuel Likoya: Agricultural Water Modelling Under Different Future Climates and Irrigation Intervention Appraisals for Building Resilience in Malawian Food Productions Systems, GCRF funded, 2018 – 2022.
  • Sarah Chapman: Climate Science Postdoc in GCRF-Africap and CHAMNHA projects, 2018 - 2022.
  • Dean Walker: Seasonal Forecasts of East African rainfall, NERC Industrial CASE award, 2016-2020.
  • Beth Woodhams: Severe Weather over East Africa, NERC DTP Studentship and Convective-scale ensemble forecasting Postdoc in GCRF-Africa SWIFT project, 2015 - 2021.


  • Scientific Steering Group member for the Met Office K-scale project
  • Executive Management Group member for the Yorkshire Integrated Catchment Solutions Programme (iCASP)
  • Steering committee member for the Centre for Excellence for Modelling the Atmosphere and Climate (CEMAC)
<h4>Research projects</h4> <p>Any research projects I'm currently working on will be listed below. Our list of all <a href="">research projects</a> allows you to view and search the full list of projects in the faculty.</p>


  • Fellow of the Higher Education Academy
  • PhD, Atmospheric Science, University of Leeds
  • BSc, Environmental Science, University of Leeds
  • Mountain Leader, National Mountain Training Association

Professional memberships

  • Associate Fellow of the Royal Meteorological Society

Student education

Teaching responsibilities

  • MRes Climate and Atmospheric Science Programme Leader
  • Module leader of Data Analysis and Visualisation modules (computer programming in Python)
  • Climate science teaching in Global Development module within MSc Climate Futures
  • Undergraduate and post-graduate project supervision
  • Personal tutoring for MRes Climate and Atmospheric Science

Examples of past undergraduate and taught postgraduate projects

  • The effects of the lake-land breeze on convective storms over Lake Victoria
  • Impact of Nepalese cold waves
  • Atmospheric drivers of Indonesian coffee yields
  • Characterising the structure of the East Asian monsoon
  • Rare hailstorms over Singapore
  • The urban heat island effect in Chinese cities

Possible future undergraduate and taught postgraduate projects

  • Quantifying the drivers of humid heat extremes using in-situ surface flux and weather station observations
  • Future changes in African heat extremes in CMIP6 and convective-scale climate models
  • Developing a humid heat extreme Early Warning System
  • Assessment of the current capability for issuing Early Warning Systems in various countries around the world
  • Case study of the 17-19th July 2022 UK heatwave: either meteorologically, or society's response
  • Applying machine learning techniques to climate and weather science problems
  • Climate Monitoring using a 10-year observational dataset around the base of two glaciers in Glacier Bay National Park
  • Compound climate extremes (flood+humid heat) during tropical cyclone activity,  such as Tropical Storm Filipo (Mozambique, 12th March 2024)
  • Analysis of weather stations on Mt Everest and/or weather forecast evaluation for the region (data from National Geographic)

Research groups and institutes

  • Atmospheric and Cloud Dynamics
  • water@leeds
  • Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science
  • Met Office Academic Partnership

Current postgraduate researchers

<h4>Postgraduate research opportunities</h4> <p>We welcome enquiries from motivated and qualified applicants from all around the world who are interested in PhD study. Our <a href="">research opportunities</a> allow you to search for projects and scholarships.</p>