Climate Impacts

Rice fields covering terraced hillside

The Climate Impacts Group furthers understanding of the impacts of climate variability and change on food security. We are a group of physical and social scientists working together to define climate impacts on agricultural livelihoods and to develop adaptation and mitigation strategies. Our primary tools are climate and crop models, which include DSSAT CROPGRO, ORYZA V3 and JULES-Crop.

Our own in-house model, the General Large Area Model for annual crops (GLAM) is designed with the explicit purpose of being compatible with climate model output.

Examples of our current work include

  • Climate Change Resilience: We lead the modelling component of the AFRICAP project (Agricultural and Food-system Resilience: Increasing Capacity and Advising Policy) in partnership with the pan-African Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network. This project combines on-farm monitoring, laboratory research and policy analysis to enhance development of climate smart agri-food systems in sub-Saharan Africa.
  • Forecasting:  We are working on the AfriCultuReS project - Enhancing Food Security in African Agricultural Systems with the Support of Remote Sensing. The goals of the AfriCultuReS project is to enrich decision making on food security through an open source agricultural geospatial decision support system. This project integrates crop growth models, weather and climate forecasts and satellite data to produce an integrated operational platform for crop monitoring and forecasting of food production.
  • Climate Smart Adaptation: In the BACO project, we are working with the International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT) in Colombia to definite target population environments (TPEs) for heat stress. The aim of the project is to assist bean breeders to produce climate smart material.
  • Climate Variability and Human Health: We are in the process of developing new crop models to assess the impact of ozone on the production of major cereal crops.

Contact us

If you would like to discuss an area of research in more detail please contact the Research Group Lead: Professor Andy Challinor

Research team

Postgraduate researchers